Table 2

Screening, vaccine and cost parameters

Parameters
Base case
Ranges
References

Screening characteristics



Screening interval
3 years in ages 25–49 years and 5 years in ages 50–64 years

NHS cervical screening programme 22
Coverage rates of target groups by age (2003)



25–29
74.0%

NHS cervical screening programme 22
30–34
81.0%


35–39
83.7%


40–44
84.0%


45–49
83.8%


50–54
83.2%


55–59
81.4%


60–64
77.3%


Inadequate pap smear results
10%
5% – 20%

Pap Sensitivity for CIN 1/2 Pap sensitivity for CIN 1/2 (LBC)
61%
51% – 80%
Nanda et al23and Karnon et al25
Pap Sensitivity for CIN 3 Pap Sensitivity for CIN 3 (LBC)
65%
65% – 90%
Nanda et al23 and Karnon et al25
Pap Specificity for no CIN Pap Specificity for no CIN (LBC)
95.7%
90% – 99%
Nanda et al25 and Kulasingam et al24
Colposcopy/Biopsy Sensitivity
90%
88% – 100%
Mitchell et al27
Colposcopy/Biopsy Specificity
100%
65% – 100%
Kulasingam et al24 and Karnon et al25
Vaccine characteristics



Vaccine efficacy for all 6, 11, 16, 18 HPV types
98%
85% – 100%
Villa et al5 and Future II 6
Duration of efficacy
Lifetime
From 10 years to lifetime
Olsson et al 28 and Villa et al42
Vaccine coverage
85%
50%–90%
Trotter et al31 and Bramley et al32
Booster coverage

50%
Trotter et al31
Costs



Pap smear
£23.7
£18 – £30
Brown et al 26
Curtis et al38
Colposcopy (with or without biopsy)
£141.69
£113 – £170

Knife cone biopsy of cervix uteri
£290.64
£232 – £349

CIN 1, CIN 2, CIN 3
£313.14
£250 – £376

FIGO I
£12,142
£9,714 – £14,570
Curtis et al38 and Wolstenholme et al37
FIGO II
£22,061
£17,649 – £26,473

FIGO III
£21,785
£17,428 – £26,142

FIGO IV
£23,402
£18,722 – £28,082

Genital warts
£215.73
£172 – £259
Brown et al26 and Curtis et al38
Vaccine cost/dose
£75
£70 – £80

Administration cost/dose
£ 3.4
£0 – £12
Trotter et al31
Booster cost/dose

£75

Administration cost for booster

£10
Curtis et al38
Discount rates



Costs
3.5%
0 – 5%

Benefits
3.5%
0 – 5%


Kulasingam et al. Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation 2008 6:4   doi:10.1186/1478-7547-6-4